FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.54 – 73.23

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

120 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.7 ±12.7

10665Unibots

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 18.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 39.78Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 106.05Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.1 ±13.9

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 22.42Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5527Cyber Phoenix

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 53.49Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -2.68Rank 43Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10665, 10612, 8728

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 10665, 10612, 8728

Auto

32.7 23%

Teleop

82.4 58%

Endgame

28.0 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11361, 5527, 7716

/ 100 compat

Projected

73.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11361, 5527, 7716

Auto

7.2 10%

Teleop

51.8 75%

Endgame

10.5 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.12 · Blue 1.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score164.5pts

Blue projected score73.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.3
Score range: 41–197
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 220 vs event baseline 178.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.7Season APEX211.1

32.7Auto7.2

82.4Teleop51.8

28Endgame10.5

42Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	20
teleop	76	57
endgame	24	23
foul	0	0
total	120	100

Result

Final score

120 – 100

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.