FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

92.27 – 83.52

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

160 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±12.4

11361ORA Raven Bots

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 19.99Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

469Las Guerrillas

Season APEX 250Event APEX 38.74Rank 10Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4961Shock and Awe-sum

Season APEX 85.3Event APEX 33.54Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.6 ±13.3

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 7.76Rank 43Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7813New Haven RoboRaptors

Season APEX 41Event APEX 30.9Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 44.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11361, 469, 4961

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11361, 469, 4961

Auto

29.4 30%

Teleop

45.1 46%

Endgame

23.8 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7716, 7813, 10612

/ 100 compat

Projected

83.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7716, 7813, 10612

Auto

22.9 30%

Teleop

58.6 76%

Endgame

-4.3 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.3pts

Blue projected score83.5pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 8.8
Score range: 52–124
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 193 vs event baseline 175.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.1Season APEX161.6

29.4Auto22.9

45.1Teleop58.6

23.8Endgame-4.3

45Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	15
teleop	124	11
endgame	0	7
foul	0	0
total	160	33

Result

Final score

160 – 33

Prediction correct · off by 59.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.