FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

44.18 – 353.92

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 483

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.3 ±13.9

4998TESLA

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX -13.74Rank 37Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9528The Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 28.72Rank 20Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 29.2Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 555.8 ±9.9

2851Crevolution

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 178.35Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9651Ecorse Robo Raiders

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 2.52Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 173.05Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4998, 9528, 4768

/ 100 compat

Projected

44.2 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4998, 9528, 4768

Auto

14.4 28%

Teleop

16.2 31%

Endgame

21.3 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2851, 9651, 4362

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2851, 9651, 4362

Auto

66.5 19%

Teleop

195.5 55%

Endgame

96.4 27%

Strengths

· 2851 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.59 · Blue 2.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score44.2pts

Blue projected score353.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -309.7
Score range: 13–385
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 172.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.3Season APEX555.8

14.4Auto66.5

16.2Teleop195.5

21.3Endgame96.4

150Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	83
teleop	9	289
endgame	4	111
foul	0	0
total	27	483

Result

Final score

27 – 483

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.