Qualification · Qualification 19
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
147.63 – 44.62
78%22%
Actual result
Winner
Tie
Final score
99 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 202.2 ±13.3
Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 59.44Rank 19Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 41Event APEX 18.56Rank 26Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 69.63Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±12.7
Season APEX 64.5Event APEX 58.8Rank 20Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 6.05Rank 12Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 65.5Event APEX -20.23Rank 28Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5527, 7813, 4384
66
/ 100 compatProjected
147.6 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 5527, 7813, 4384
Auto
29.1 20%
Teleop
79.3 55%
Endgame
36.9 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9528, 5531, 10652
24
/ 100 compatProjected
44.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 9528, 5531, 10652
Auto
-5.1 0%
Teleop
32.2 85%
Endgame
10.9 29%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score147.6pts
Blue projected score44.6pts
Red win probability78%
Event bonus sample202alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 53%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 103
- Score range
- 16–177
- Upset likelihood
- 22%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
202.2Season APEX219.8
29.1Auto-5.1
79.3Teleop32.2
36.9Endgame10.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 10 |
| teleop | 56 | 59 |
| endgame | 30 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 99 | 99 |
Result
Final score
99 – 99
Prediction correct · off by 51.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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