FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.11 – 121.6

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

83 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±12.7

8115Platinum Peacocks

Season APEX 47Event APEX 92.15Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9747ElectroPanthers II

Season APEX 99.4Event APEX -12.62Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5531Orange Crush

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 5.58Rank 12Record 8-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 522.7 ±11.2

1498The Polar Pilots

Season APEX 250.1Event APEX 119.88Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9252Wingspan

Season APEX 45.5Event APEX -7.71Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11493Pixel Knights

Season APEX 227.1Event APEX 9.43Rank 13Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8115, 9747, 5531

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8115, 9747, 5531

Auto

23.3 27%

Teleop

38.8 46%

Endgame

22.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1498, 9252, 11493

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1498, 9252, 11493

Auto

35.8 28%

Teleop

70.4 56%

Endgame

19.9 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score85.1pts

Blue projected score121.6pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.5
Score range: 56–151
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 162.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.2Season APEX522.7

23.3Auto35.8

38.8Teleop70.4

22.8Endgame19.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	63
teleop	36	66
endgame	29	35
foul	0	0
total	83	164

Result

Final score

83 – 164

Prediction correct · off by 22.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.