FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.69 – 125.16

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

400 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 541 ±11.7

5436Cyber Cats

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 34.65Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 311.37Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4768Cody "The Green Comet"

Season APEX 63.7Event APEX 4.67Rank 41Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±12.7

8728Argonauts

Season APEX 129.1Event APEX 92.36Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4384Benzene Bots

Season APEX 89.5Event APEX 30.75Rank 32Record 4-7-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5467RoboTractors

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 2.05Rank 39Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5436, 7769, 4768

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5436, 7769, 4768

Auto

76.5 22%

Teleop

180.7 53%

Endgame

84.1 25%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8728, 4384, 5467

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8728, 4384, 5467

Auto

24.6 21%

Teleop

63.9 54%

Endgame

30.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.6 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score350.7pts

Blue projected score125.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 225.5
Score range: 89–387
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 504 vs event baseline 201.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

541Season APEX262.2

76.5Auto24.6

180.7Teleop63.9

84.1Endgame30.2

5Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	90	22
teleop	179	57
endgame	131	20
foul	0	5
total	400	104

Result

Final score

400 – 104

Prediction correct · off by 35.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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