FIM District Troy Event presented by Aptiv Foundation

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

530.82 – 397.24

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

566 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 672.6 ±9.9

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 22.98Rank 27Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4362Gems

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 197.64Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7769The CREW

Season APEX 385.4Event APEX 310.2Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 582.3 ±9.9

10612Cougear

Season APEX 77Event APEX 43.88Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

33Killer Bees

Season APEX 256.8Event APEX 177.99Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

201The FEDS

Season APEX 248.5Event APEX 175.37Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9679, 4362, 7769

/ 100 compat

Projected

530.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9679, 4362, 7769

Auto

91.3 18%

Teleop

301.0 58%

Endgame

126.6 24%

Strengths

· 7769 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10612, 33, 201

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 10612, 33, 201

Auto

64.1 16%

Teleop

219.5 56%

Endgame

106.7 27%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score530.8pts

Blue projected score397.2pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample202alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 133.6
Score range: 361–567
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1032 vs event baseline 198.6.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

672.6Season APEX582.3

91.3Auto64.1

301Teleop219.5

126.6Endgame106.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	51
teleop	312	261
endgame	142	154
foul	30	0
total	566	466

Result

Final score

566 – 466

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.