FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Playoff · Playoff Match 3 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.2 – 131.9

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±10.5

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 134.46Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 10.77Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 120.97Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 258 ±11.6

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 57.23Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 52.22Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 22.45Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 9679, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 9679, 8280

Auto

42.0 16%

Teleop

156.8 61%

Endgame

56.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8352, 7196, 10690

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 7196, 10690

Auto

27.3 22%

Teleop

72.1 58%

Endgame

24.5 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.2pts

Blue projected score131.9pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.3
Score range: 104–294
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 155.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.9Season APEX258

42Auto27.3

156.8Teleop72.1

56.7Endgame24.5

42Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	31
teleop	94	82
endgame	92	18
foul	0	20
total	204	151

Result

Final score

204 – 151

Prediction correct · off by 40.6 pts

Match videos

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