FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

307.2 – 123.6

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

527 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 129.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 604.4 ±8.8

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 11.43Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 177.72Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

503Frog Force

Season APEX 233.9Event APEX 118.05Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.1 ±12.7

3667Mecanum Knights

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 30.67Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 38.77Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 54.16Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2224, 1701, 503

/ 100 compat

Projected

307.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2224, 1701, 503

Auto

75.2 24%

Teleop

170.7 55%

Endgame

62.9 20%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3667, 5756, 5695

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3667, 5756, 5695

Auto

25.3 22%

Teleop

50.2 45%

Endgame

37.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score307.2pts

Blue projected score123.6pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 183.6
Score range: 97–334
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 612 vs event baseline 152.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

604.4Season APEX195.1

75.2Auto25.3

170.7Teleop50.2

62.9Endgame37.1

8Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	96	19
teleop	296	36
endgame	120	30
foul	15	0
total	527	85

Result

Final score

527 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 129.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.