FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

253.21 – 223.14

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

315 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 43 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 391.9 ±10.5

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 129.37Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 5.74Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 118.1Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.8 ±11.2

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 22.97Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 89.78Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 110.39Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 9679, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 9679, 8280

Auto

38.1 16%

Teleop

142.3 58%

Endgame

65.0 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9212, 247, 818

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9212, 247, 818

Auto

35.9 17%

Teleop

129.6 60%

Endgame

51.6 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.78 · Blue 1.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score253.2pts

Blue projected score223.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.1
Score range: 194–282
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 514 vs event baseline 160.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

391.9Season APEX387.8

38.1Auto35.9

142.3Teleop129.6

65Endgame51.6

48Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	38
teleop	182	127
endgame	66	34
foul	20	0
total	315	199

Result

Final score

315 – 199

Prediction correct · off by 43 pts

Match videos

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