FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.48 – 136.98

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 172.4 ±13.3

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 30.37Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5642Mumford Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 33.9Event APEX 3Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3667Mecanum Knights

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 29.11Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.4 ±12.4

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 9.54Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 116.9Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 10.54Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2048, 5642, 3667

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2048, 5642, 3667

Auto

17.3 31%

Teleop

11.0 20%

Endgame

27.0 49%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6096, 8280, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

137 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6096, 8280, 4758

Auto

26.1 19%

Teleop

78.1 57%

Endgame

33.2 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.5pts

Blue projected score137pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.5
Score range: 35–164
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 151.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

172.4Season APEX256.4

17.3Auto26.1

11Teleop78.1

27Endgame33.2

9Consistency39

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	30
teleop	41	145
endgame	31	50
foul	0	0
total	93	225

Result

Final score

93 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 59.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.