FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

97.18 – 174.18

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 162.1 ±13.3

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 30.43Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 13.06Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 53.69Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286 ±11.6

7188SaddleBots

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 113.31Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 51.54Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 9.33Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9212, 11457, 2673

/ 100 compat

Projected

97.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9212, 11457, 2673

Auto

13.8 14%

Teleop

52.0 54%

Endgame

29.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7188, 7196, 9679

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 7188, 7196, 9679

Auto

38.9 23%

Teleop

98.2 58%

Endgame

33.0 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score97.2pts

Blue projected score174.2pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77
Score range: 70–201
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 152.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

162.1Season APEX286

13.8Auto38.9

52Teleop98.2

29.7Endgame33

1Consistency45

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	28
teleop	29	126
endgame	22	43
foul	0	10
total	65	207

Result

Final score

65 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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