FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

271.58 – 255.23

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

280 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 4.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 509.1 ±9.3

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 57.03Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 100.22Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 114.33Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.8 ±11

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 134.87Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 24.4Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 95.96Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8352, 10349, 818

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 10349, 818

Auto

37.4 14%

Teleop

157.2 60%

Endgame

65.6 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1025, 10690, 247

/ 100 compat

Projected

255.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 10690, 247

Auto

43.3 18%

Teleop

137.6 58%

Endgame

57.4 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.72 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score271.6pts

Blue projected score255.2pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 16.3
Score range: 228–299
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 534 vs event baseline 150.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

509.1Season APEX360.8

37.4Auto43.3

157.2Teleop137.6

65.6Endgame57.4

43Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	32
teleop	175	162
endgame	46	45
foul	15	15
total	280	254

Result

Final score

280 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 4.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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