FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.32 – 115.11

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257.1 ±12.8

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 48.03Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 53.92Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 26.37Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 206.7 ±12.7

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 54.04Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 9.62Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 51.45Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5695, 8352, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5695, 8352, 2048

Auto

27.1 22%

Teleop

61.7 51%

Endgame

32.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 5901, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 5901, 7196

Auto

18.4 16%

Teleop

68.0 60%

Endgame

27.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.3pts

Blue projected score115.1pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.2
Score range: 88–155
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 291 vs event baseline 150.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257.1Season APEX206.7

27.1Auto18.4

61.7Teleop68

32Endgame27.4

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	28
teleop	83	81
endgame	48	11
foul	15	0
total	171	120

Result

Final score

171 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 23.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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