FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

174.7 – 214.2

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

193 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 283.1 ±12.8

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 27.33Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 21.9Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 125.47Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.4 ±12.4

5642Mumford Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 33.9Event APEX 1.57Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 182.9Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 29.73Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2048, 7716, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2048, 7716, 1025

Auto

28.5 18%

Teleop

94.1 60%

Endgame

33.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5642, 1701, 9212

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5642, 1701, 9212

Auto

37.9 17%

Teleop

130.1 59%

Endgame

51.8 24%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score174.7pts

Blue projected score214.2pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39.5
Score range: 148–241
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 404 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

283.1Season APEX393.4

28.5Auto37.9

94.1Teleop130.1

33.4Endgame51.8

0Consistency8

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	51
teleop	92	76
endgame	62	79
foul	5	5
total	193	211

Result

Final score

193 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 10.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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