FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

1.21 – 313.91

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

32 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 146.9 ±13.9

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX -11.42Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11461SW Phoenix

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX -10.23Rank 33Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 22.86Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 481.2 ±10.5

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 140.84Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 36.23Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 136.84Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11457, 11461, 5901

/ 100 compat

Projected

1.2 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11457, 11461, 5901

Auto

6.9 68%

Teleop

9.3 92%

Endgame

-6.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 6616, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 6616, 1025

Auto

42.9 14%

Teleop

186.0 61%

Endgame

73.8 24%

Strengths

· 2960 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.53 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score1.2pts

Blue projected score313.9pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -312.7
Score range: -25–340
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 263 vs event baseline 145.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

146.9Season APEX481.2

6.9Auto42.9

9.3Teleop186

-6.1Endgame73.8

47Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	41
teleop	15	157
endgame	7	33
foul	0	0
total	32	231

Result

Final score

32 – 231

Prediction correct · off by 56.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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