FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

68.06 – 171.78

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 94

Prediction missed · off by 60.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 207.9 ±12.8

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 28.92Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 31.84Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 7.3Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.4 ±12.8

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 36Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 116.33Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 19.45Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9212, 8352, 11473

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9212, 8352, 11473

Auto

4.9 7%

Teleop

39.1 58%

Endgame

22.9 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2048, 247, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

171.8 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2048, 247, 4758

Auto

30.9 18%

Teleop

90.9 53%

Endgame

48.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score68.1pts

Blue projected score171.8pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -103.7
Score range: 42–198
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 205 vs event baseline 146.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

207.9Season APEX254.4

4.9Auto30.9

39.1Teleop90.9

22.9Endgame48.9

61Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	21
teleop	55	48
endgame	23	25
foul	0	0
total	111	94

Result

Final score

111 – 94

Prediction missed · off by 60.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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