FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.64 – 78.65

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

235 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.4 ±11.7

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 44.91Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 46.64Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 96.09Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.4 ±12.8

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX 2.87Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 36.9Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

217ThunderChickens

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 38.88Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5695, 7196, 818

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5695, 7196, 818

Auto

40.1 23%

Teleop

92.2 54%

Endgame

38.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6096, 7716, 217

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6096, 7716, 217

Auto

9.9 13%

Teleop

35.9 47%

Endgame

31.2 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.6pts

Blue projected score78.7pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109
Score range: 53–214
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 146.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.4Season APEX178.4

40.1Auto9.9

92.2Teleop35.9

38.8Endgame31.2

44Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	21
teleop	136	30
endgame	62	12
foul	0	0
total	235	63

Result

Final score

235 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.