FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

285.82 – 255.01

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 2.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 550.9 ±9.3

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX -1.1Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 110.33Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 176.59Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 427.7 ±10.5

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 142.71Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 97.2Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3667Mecanum Knights

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 15.1Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2224, 8280, 1701

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.8 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2224, 8280, 1701

Auto

72.2 25%

Teleop

169.8 60%

Endgame

41.6 15%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1025, 10349, 3667

/ 100 compat

Projected

255 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 10349, 3667

Auto

22.8 9%

Teleop

158.3 64%

Endgame

66.1 27%

Strengths

· 1025 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score285.8pts

Blue projected score255pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 30.8
Score range: 230–311
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 139.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

550.9Season APEX427.7

72.2Auto22.8

169.8Teleop158.3

41.6Endgame66.1

47Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	85	74
teleop	142	94
endgame	56	50
foul	0	40
total	283	258

Result

Final score

283 – 258

Prediction correct · off by 2.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.