FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.66 – 99.37

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 149.5 ±13.3

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 12.79Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 27.1Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7716JLW Formula 01

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 41.77Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.6 ±12.7

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 47.56Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5531Orange Crush

Season APEX 89.8Event APEX 53.78Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX -1.97Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5756, 4758, 7716

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 4758, 7716

Auto

25.1 32%

Teleop

31.2 40%

Endgame

21.9 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2673, 5531, 9727

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 5531, 9727

Auto

12.2 12%

Teleop

61.7 62%

Endgame

26.4 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.7pts

Blue projected score99.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.7
Score range: 56–125
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 116 vs event baseline 143.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

149.5Season APEX219.6

25.1Auto12.2

31.2Teleop61.7

21.9Endgame26.4

0Consistency86

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	15
teleop	6	31
endgame	6	27
foul	20	0
total	43	73

Result

Final score

43 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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