FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.93 – 333.44

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

16 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 159.1 ±13.3

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX -6.84Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX 18.13Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 7.64Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.8 ±11.2

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 11.24Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 131.62Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 190.58Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9727, 6566, 9679

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9727, 6566, 9679

Auto

19.4 100%

Teleop

-8.6 0%

Endgame

8.0 43%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5901, 1025, 1701

/ 100 compat

Projected

333.4 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5901, 1025, 1701

Auto

59.2 18%

Teleop

197.5 61%

Endgame

68.2 21%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.9pts

Blue projected score333.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -314.5
Score range: -11–363
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 167.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

159.1Season APEX519.8

19.4Auto59.2

-8.6Teleop197.5

8Endgame68.2

31Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	39
teleop	0	303
endgame	6	81
foul	0	5
total	16	428

Result

Final score

16 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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