FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.57 – 286

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 175.2 ±13.3

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 26.04Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 13.02Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 8.51Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491.5 ±11.2

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 179.5Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7188SaddleBots

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 100.27Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11457INVEST

Season APEX 38.7Event APEX 6.23Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7196, 11473, 3096

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 11473, 3096

Auto

21.6 54%

Teleop

9.9 25%

Endgame

8.3 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 7188, 11457

/ 100 compat

Projected

286 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 7188, 11457

Auto

48.3 17%

Teleop

162.7 57%

Endgame

72.5 26%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.66 · Blue 2.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.6pts

Blue projected score286pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -238.4
Score range: 23–311
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 318 vs event baseline 141.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

175.2Season APEX491.5

21.6Auto48.3

9.9Teleop162.7

8.3Endgame72.5

54Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	62
teleop	22	158
endgame	32	30
foul	0	0
total	68	250

Result

Final score

68 – 250

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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