FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.1 – 200.49

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.4 ±12.7

2673Tenacious Technicians

Season APEX 65.2Event APEX 53.64Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 18.7Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX -5.24Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 405 ±11.2

818The Steel Armadillos

Season APEX 198.6Event APEX 74.96Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX -3.58Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 129.11Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2673, 9679, 6096

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2673, 9679, 6096

Auto

20.3 29%

Teleop

37.6 54%

Endgame

11.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 818, 6566, 1025

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 818, 6566, 1025

Auto

18.1 10%

Teleop

125.0 68%

Endgame

40.8 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score67.1pts

Blue projected score200.5pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.4
Score range: 41–226
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 145.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.4Season APEX405

20.3Auto18.1

37.6Teleop125

11.6Endgame40.8

99Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	29
teleop	19	152
endgame	2	79
foul	15	30
total	50	290

Result

Final score

50 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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