FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

106.19 – 287.84

9%91%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

100 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 165.5 ±13.3

3667Mecanum Knights

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 13.01Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 51.23Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3619BLACKHAWKS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 41.95Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 540.1 ±10.7

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 146.7Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 46.18Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10349Pontiac Firebirds

Season APEX 205.3Event APEX 94.96Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3667, 5901, 3619

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.2 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3667, 5901, 3619

Auto

15.5 15%

Teleop

60.9 60%

Endgame

25.8 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2960, 2048, 10349

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2960, 2048, 10349

Auto

40.0 14%

Teleop

149.2 53%

Endgame

90.4 32%

Strengths

· 2960 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.74 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score106.2pts

Blue projected score287.8pts

Red win probability9%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -181.6
Score range: 81–313
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 140.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

165.5Season APEX540.1

15.5Auto40

60.9Teleop149.2

25.8Endgame90.4

97Consistency3

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	44
teleop	44	192
endgame	48	58
foul	0	0
total	100	294

Result

Final score

100 – 294

Prediction correct · off by 6.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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