FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

128.11 – 240.9

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

60 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 158.2 ±13.3

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 59.27Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 38.61Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 30.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.7 ±11.7

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 183.3Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4851JungleBots

Season APEX 53.7Event APEX 32.22Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 25.38Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10690, 4758, 11473

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 10690, 4758, 11473

Auto

9.7 8%

Teleop

56.8 48%

Endgame

51.1 43%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1701, 4851, 7196

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1701, 4851, 7196

Auto

51.0 21%

Teleop

137.3 56%

Endgame

55.8 23%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.95 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.1pts

Blue projected score240.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -112.8
Score range: 103–266
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 140.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

158.2Season APEX439.7

9.7Auto51

56.8Teleop137.3

51.1Endgame55.8

112Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	67
teleop	16	139
endgame	21	32
foul	5	0
total	60	238

Result

Final score

60 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 35.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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