FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.43 – 67.65

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

266 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 36 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.5 ±11

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 111.43Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 0.08Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7188SaddleBots

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 90.92Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 215.6 ±12.2

217ThunderChickens

Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 43.23Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX 4.37Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5239The Royal Stags

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 20.05Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 5756, 7188

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 5756, 7188

Auto

27.7 14%

Teleop

117.4 60%

Endgame

51.8 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 217, 9679, 5239

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 217, 9679, 5239

Auto

21.5 31%

Teleop

17.1 24%

Endgame

31.7 45%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score202.4pts

Blue projected score67.6pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.8
Score range: 43–227
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 139.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.5Season APEX215.6

27.7Auto21.5

117.4Teleop17.1

51.8Endgame31.7

10Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	17
teleop	160	43
endgame	45	16
foul	30	0
total	266	76

Result

Final score

266 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 36 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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