FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

224.34 – 269.47

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 178

Prediction missed · off by 58.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 439.4 ±11.7

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -1.31Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1701Robocubs

A+

Season APEX 301.3Event APEX 179.64Rank 1Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2048The Pink Panthers

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 46.01Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.2 ±9.8

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 105.95Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2960Automation Nation

Season APEX 257Event APEX 167.92Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2224RoboPhoenix

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX -4.4Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5756, 1701, 2048

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5756, 1701, 2048

Auto

37.0 17%

Teleop

125.7 58%

Endgame

54.7 25%

Strengths

· 1701 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 247, 2960, 2224

/ 100 compat

Projected

269.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 247, 2960, 2224

Auto

47.2 18%

Teleop

168.0 64%

Endgame

48.3 18%

Strengths

· 2960 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score224.3pts

Blue projected score269.5pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.1
Score range: 199–294
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 428 vs event baseline 136.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439.4Season APEX457.2

37Auto47.2

125.7Teleop168

54.7Endgame48.3

84Consistency157

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	61	55
teleop	107	77
endgame	82	46
foul	0	0
total	250	178

Result

Final score

250 – 178

Prediction missed · off by 58.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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