FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

107.32 – 51.77

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

131 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 34 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.3 ±12.4

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 17.99Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5239The Royal Stags

Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 30.91Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8280K9.0 Robotics

Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 58.42Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±11.6

8352CODE Gold

Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 9.23Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9679Madison Eagles

Season APEX 49.8Event APEX -7.78Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10690ERROR 448

Season APEX 68.1Event APEX 50.32Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11473, 5239, 8280

/ 100 compat

Projected

107.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 5239, 8280

Auto

23.9 22%

Teleop

60.9 56%

Endgame

24.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8352, 9679, 10690

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8352, 9679, 10690

Auto

20.6 43%

Teleop

4.9 10%

Endgame

22.6 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.93 · Blue 1.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score107.3pts

Blue projected score51.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 55.5
Score range: 27–132
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 227 vs event baseline 137.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

286.3Season APEX223.1

23.9Auto20.6

60.9Teleop4.9

24.1Endgame22.6

17Consistency180

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	15
teleop	63	46
endgame	26	30
foul	15	5
total	131	96

Result

Final score

131 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 34 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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