FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.25 – 71.71

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

234 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 79.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 259.6 ±12.2

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 20.45Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 3.23Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7188SaddleBots

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 74.57Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133.2 ±13.9

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 1.79Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5901BattleCats

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 70.36Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6096UPSM Cobrots

Season APEX 30.4Event APEX -0.44Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4758, 6616, 7188

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 4758, 6616, 7188

Auto

27.1 25%

Teleop

47.5 44%

Endgame

33.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3096, 5901, 6096

/ 100 compat

Projected

71.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3096, 5901, 6096

Auto

9.2 13%

Teleop

32.9 47%

Endgame

27.5 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score98.3pts

Blue projected score71.7pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.5
Score range: 47–123
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 282 vs event baseline 137.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

259.6Season APEX133.2

27.1Auto9.2

47.5Teleop32.9

33.8Endgame27.5

120Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	16
teleop	127	16
endgame	71	16
foul	5	0
total	234	48

Result

Final score

234 – 48

Prediction correct · off by 79.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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