Qualification · Qualification 20
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
270.83 – 58.99
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
188 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 46.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 388.7 ±11.2
Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 81.09Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 102.6Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 87.14Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228 ±12.2
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 34.6Rank 39Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 8.44Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 105.2Event APEX 15.95Rank 12Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8280, 7188, 5901
81
/ 100 compatProjected
270.8 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8280, 7188, 5901
Auto
6.8 2%
Teleop
203.9 74%
Endgame
65.8 24%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5239, 9558, 8352
34
/ 100 compatProjected
59 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5239, 9558, 8352
Auto
25.5 56%
Teleop
10.0 22%
Endgame
10.0 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score270.8pts
Blue projected score59pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 211.8
- Score range
- 34–296
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
388.7Season APEX228
6.8Auto25.5
203.9Teleop10
65.8Endgame10
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 40 | 37 |
| teleop | 118 | 19 |
| endgame | 30 | 13 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 188 | 69 |
Result
Final score
188 – 69
Prediction correct · off by 46.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.