FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

37.43 – 74.24

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

187 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 88.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.2 ±12.8

11473Wixom Christian Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -17.26Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

247Da Bears

Season APEX 131Event APEX 60.3Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6566Battering Rams

Season APEX 44.7Event APEX -5.61Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 164.5 ±13.3

9212Infinity

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 78.4Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3096The Village Bulldogs

Season APEX 46Event APEX 6.82Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5756REC'in Crew

Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -10.98Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11473, 247, 6566

/ 100 compat

Projected

37.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11473, 247, 6566

Auto

5.3 19%

Teleop

16.0 57%

Endgame

6.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9212, 3096, 5756

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.2 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9212, 3096, 5756

Auto

13.6 19%

Teleop

32.8 46%

Endgame

24.2 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.41 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score37.4pts

Blue projected score74.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -36.8
Score range: 11–100
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 142.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.2Season APEX164.5

5.3Auto13.6

16Teleop32.8

6.6Endgame24.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	13
teleop	119	18
endgame	40	11
foul	0	5
total	187	47

Result

Final score

187 – 47

Prediction missed · off by 88.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.