FIM District Troy Event #2 presented by DTE Foundation

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

166.47 – 79.4

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281.4 ±12.8

1025Impi Warriors

Season APEX 161.7Event APEX 120.58Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5695Heavy Duty Eagles

Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 21.12Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4758RoboBlazers

Season APEX 45.6Event APEX 24.77Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.2 ±12.7

7196Tech Tigers

Season APEX 84.7Event APEX 29.08Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3619BLACKHAWKS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 42.27Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6616Mechanical Pumas

Season APEX 62.5Event APEX 8.05Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1025, 5695, 4758

/ 100 compat

Projected

166.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1025, 5695, 4758

Auto

15.1 9%

Teleop

100.3 62%

Endgame

47.3 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7196, 3619, 6616

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7196, 3619, 6616

Auto

23.3 34%

Teleop

13.4 20%

Endgame

31.4 46%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score166.5pts

Blue projected score79.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.1
Score range: 53–192
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 274 vs event baseline 143.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281.4Season APEX195.2

15.1Auto23.3

100.3Teleop13.4

47.3Endgame31.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	20
teleop	96	49
endgame	41	37
foul	0	0
total	168	106

Result

Final score

168 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 14.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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