Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
162.99 – 83.14
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
355 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 105.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.7 ±10.5
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 41.84Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 65.2Event APEX -1.15Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 257Event APEX 122.3Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 172.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 74.1Event APEX 41.23Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 3.76Rank 34Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 33.9Event APEX 38.15Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7188, 2673, 2960
75
/ 100 compatProjected
163 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 7188, 2673, 2960
Auto
29.2 19%
Teleop
74.8 48%
Endgame
51.5 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5695, 9727, 5642
55
/ 100 compatProjected
83.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 5695, 9727, 5642
Auto
19.0 26%
Teleop
34.6 48%
Endgame
18.9 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score163pts
Blue projected score83.1pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 79.9
- Score range
- 58–188
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
473.7Season APEX172.6
29.2Auto19
74.8Teleop34.6
51.5Endgame18.9
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 46 | 13 |
| teleop | 240 | 27 |
| endgame | 69 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 355 | 64 |
Result
Final score
355 – 64
Prediction correct · off by 105.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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