Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
141.1 – 62.87
73%27%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
137 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 points
Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 305 ±11.7
Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 40.12Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 180.4Event APEX 67.47Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 33.51Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 211.8 ±12.2
Season APEX 46Event APEX 2.98Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.4Event APEX 26.38Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.4Event APEX 33.51Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2591, 8280, 2048
65
/ 100 compatProjected
141.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2591, 8280, 2048
Auto
25.7 21%
Teleop
71.7 60%
Endgame
23.0 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3096, 217, 9558
40
/ 100 compatProjected
62.9 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 3096, 217, 9558
Auto
12.1 22%
Teleop
19.0 34%
Endgame
24.0 44%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 1.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score141.1pts
Blue projected score62.9pts
Red win probability73%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 78.2
- Score range
- 36–168
- Upset likelihood
- 27%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
305Season APEX211.8
25.7Auto12.1
71.7Teleop19
23Endgame24
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 26 | 24 |
| teleop | 84 | 25 |
| endgame | 27 | 30 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 137 | 79 |
Result
Final score
137 – 79
Prediction correct · off by 10.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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