FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

158.57 – 236.09

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.9 ±11.6

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 46.91Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 63.38Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 48.28Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 96.42Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 34.06Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 105.61Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7178, 5567, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 5567, 308

Auto

29.0 18%

Teleop

86.7 55%

Endgame

41.5 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 3632, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 3632, 5066

Auto

39.7 18%

Teleop

136.6 60%

Endgame

49.7 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.2 · Blue 1.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score158.6pts

Blue projected score236.1pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.5
Score range: 132–263
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 466 vs event baseline 149.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.9Season APEX528.5

29Auto39.7

86.7Teleop136.6

41.5Endgame49.7

120Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	56
teleop	75	157
endgame	64	43
foul	0	30
total	180	286

Result

Final score

180 – 286

Prediction correct · off by 35.7 pts

Match videos

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