FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.37 – 164.42

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

373 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±9.9

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 12.93Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 229.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 184.72Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 192.9 ±11.6

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 48.69Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5567Code Red Robotics

Season APEX 80Event APEX 65.26Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 50.47Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3568, 5460, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

427.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3568, 5460, 67

Auto

85.2 20%

Teleop

247.0 59%

Endgame

89.7 21%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7178, 5567, 308

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.4 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 5567, 308

Auto

26.3 16%

Teleop

93.2 57%

Endgame

43.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score427.4pts

Blue projected score164.4pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 263
Score range: 137–454
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 496 vs event baseline 147.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

711.3Season APEX192.9

85.2Auto26.3

247Teleop93.2

89.7Endgame43.3

0Consistency112

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	138	43
teleop	186	47
endgame	49	33
foul	0	0
total	373	123

Result

Final score

373 – 123

Prediction correct · off by 47.9 pts

Match videos

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