FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.88 – 232.8

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.3 ±12.1

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 21.12Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2620Titans

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 49.88Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 69.88Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 94.93Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 32.81Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 105.06Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7660, 2620, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7660, 2620, 7692

Auto

43.7 32%

Teleop

58.0 43%

Endgame

33.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 3632, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 3632, 5066

Auto

36.8 16%

Teleop

141.0 62%

Endgame

47.9 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.9pts

Blue projected score232.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -91.9
Score range: 114–260
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 147.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.3Season APEX528.5

43.7Auto36.8

58Teleop141

33.7Endgame47.9

46Consistency71

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	53
teleop	62	110
endgame	34	61
foul	0	25
total	136	249

Result

Final score

136 – 249

Prediction correct · off by 10.5 pts

Match videos

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