FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.46 – 147.42

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

154 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 55 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 100.53Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 38.38Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 110.55Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±11.6

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 50.74Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4838Under Currents

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 40.78Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 55.9Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 548, 3632, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 3632, 5066

Auto

35.0 14%

Teleop

158.5 64%

Endgame

54.6 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9226, 4838, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.4 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9226, 4838, 2834

Auto

27.6 19%

Teleop

73.0 51%

Endgame

43.0 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.5pts

Blue projected score147.4pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 102
Score range: 120–276
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 316 vs event baseline 148.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

528.5Season APEX313.9

35Auto27.6

158.5Teleop73

54.6Endgame43

67Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	27
teleop	62	90
endgame	18	40
foul	30	5
total	154	162

Result

Final score

154 – 162

Prediction missed · off by 55 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.