FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

425.53 – 106.81

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

422 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 5.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±9.9

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 228.27Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 12.71Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 184.55Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.4 ±13.9

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 41.43Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 23.56Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

66Grizzly Robotics

Season APEX 53Event APEX 41.82Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5460, 3568, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

425.5 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 3568, 67

Auto

85.5 20%

Teleop

244.8 58%

Endgame

89.2 21%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 815, 11455, 66

/ 100 compat

Projected

106.8 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 815, 11455, 66

Auto

36.1 36%

Teleop

49.8 49%

Endgame

15.3 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.62 · Blue 0.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score425.5pts

Blue projected score106.8pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 318.7
Score range: 81–452
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 521 vs event baseline 146.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

711.3Season APEX148.4

85.5Auto36.1

244.8Teleop49.8

89.2Endgame15.3

26Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	30
teleop	252	46
endgame	87	18
foul	0	5
total	422	99

Result

Final score

422 – 99

Prediction correct · off by 5.7 pts

Match videos

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