FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.15 – 244.05

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

157 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476 ±9.9

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 68.91Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 60.08Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 22.16Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 528.5 ±9.3

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 99.51Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 36.38Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 108.16Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3604, 1076, 5090

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3604, 1076, 5090

Auto

26.8 18%

Teleop

76.4 53%

Endgame

42.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 548, 3632, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 548, 3632, 5066

Auto

42.1 18%

Teleop

140.0 61%

Endgame

49.0 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.2pts

Blue projected score244.1pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -92.9
Score range: 124–271
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 409 vs event baseline 151.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476Season APEX528.5

26.8Auto42.1

76.4Teleop140

42.2Endgame49

34Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	43
teleop	48	163
endgame	74	46
foul	0	0
total	157	252

Result

Final score

157 – 252

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts

Match videos

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