FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

420.52 – 253.53

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

392 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 61 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 711.3 ±9.9

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 10.78Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 227.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 182.02Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 472.4 ±10.5

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 28.29Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 118.31Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 106.93Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3568, 5460, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

420.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3568, 5460, 67

Auto

93.7 23%

Teleop

238.7 57%

Endgame

83.8 20%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9242, 1506, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

253.5 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9242, 1506, 3322

Auto

46.5 19%

Teleop

132.6 53%

Endgame

70.9 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.83

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score420.5pts

Blue projected score253.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 167
Score range: 227–448
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 552 vs event baseline 149.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

711.3Season APEX472.4

93.7Auto46.5

238.7Teleop132.6

83.8Endgame70.9

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	142	30
teleop	148	87
endgame	82	43
foul	20	0
total	392	160

Result

Final score

392 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 61 pts

Match videos

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