FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

249.56 – 247.78

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

224 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 458.9 ±11.2

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 44.13Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 35.43Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 170Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393.4 ±10.5

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 170Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 27.49Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 50.29Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 67, 4395, 3322

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.6 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 67, 4395, 3322

Auto

34.7 14%

Teleop

172.2 69%

Endgame

42.7 17%

Strengths

· 3322 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1506, 3568, 3632

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1506, 3568, 3632

Auto

27.5 11%

Teleop

150.4 61%

Endgame

68.4 28%

Strengths

· 1506 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.69 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score249.6pts

Blue projected score247.8pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.8
Score range: 222–276
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 144.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

458.9Season APEX393.4

34.7Auto27.5

172.2Teleop150.4

42.7Endgame68.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	87	34
teleop	111	92
endgame	26	52
foul	0	0
total	224	178

Result

Final score

224 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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