FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 78

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.19 – 149.92

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

99 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 185.8 ±12.7

308Monsters

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 49.74Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 31.32Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 12.13Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±12.4

6532TechnoPaths

Season APEX 46.6Event APEX 19.01Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11455The Iron Patriots

Season APEX 43.8Event APEX 22.52Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 108.39Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 308, 9727, 3568

/ 100 compat

Projected

93.2 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 308, 9727, 3568

Auto

22.0 24%

Teleop

43.2 46%

Endgame

28.1 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6532, 11455, 5066

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6532, 11455, 5066

Auto

37.7 26%

Teleop

82.9 57%

Endgame

23.6 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score93.2pts

Blue projected score149.9pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -56.7
Score range: 67–176
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 262 vs event baseline 147.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

185.8Season APEX321.5

22Auto37.7

43.2Teleop82.9

28.1Endgame23.6

86Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	45
teleop	57	71
endgame	19	47
foul	0	0
total	99	163

Result

Final score

99 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 9.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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