FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 77

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.1 – 101.01

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 133.2 ±13.3

4395Dundee Vi-Borgs

Season APEX 43.3Event APEX 8.4Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 28.31Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6057Thunderbots

Season APEX 39.2Event APEX -4.61Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.8 ±12.7

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 18.45Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 13.83Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 68.73Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4395, 5090, 6057

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4395, 5090, 6057

Auto

12.7 40%

Teleop

-1.1 0%

Endgame

19.8 63%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3773, 1, 7692

/ 100 compat

Projected

101 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3773, 1, 7692

Auto

30.5 32%

Teleop

30.9 32%

Endgame

33.7 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.1pts

Blue projected score101pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -68.9
Score range: 5–128
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 223 vs event baseline 147.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

133.2Season APEX167.8

12.7Auto30.5

-1.1Teleop30.9

19.8Endgame33.7

17Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	38
teleop	48	79
endgame	28	11
foul	0	0
total	95	128

Result

Final score

95 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 44.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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