FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.13 – 132.32

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

75 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.9 ±13.3

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 48.38Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7147Rising Falcons

Season APEX 101Event APEX -9.82Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 17.57Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 355.5 ±11.7

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 39.09Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3604Goon Squad

Season APEX 224.3Event APEX 81.41Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 11.82Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7178, 7147, 8899

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7178, 7147, 8899

Auto

12.4 22%

Teleop

31.0 56%

Endgame

12.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9242, 3604, 6101

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9242, 3604, 6101

Auto

21.3 16%

Teleop

67.5 51%

Endgame

43.4 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score56.1pts

Blue projected score132.3pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -76.2
Score range: 29–159
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 162 vs event baseline 148.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.9Season APEX355.5

12.4Auto21.3

31Teleop67.5

12.3Endgame43.4

19Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	22
teleop	38	35
endgame	27	0
foul	0	30
total	75	87

Result

Final score

75 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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