FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

212.92 – 290.51

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

150 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 63.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.7 ±11.1

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 54.86Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1506Metal Muscle

Season APEX 261.1Event APEX 129.29Rank 6Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 28.77Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 572.2 ±11.2

5460Strike Zone

Season APEX 356.1Event APEX 233.61Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4994Kingston Robo-Cards

Season APEX 48.4Event APEX -4.38Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2834Bionic Black Hawks

Season APEX 167.7Event APEX 61.28Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9226, 1506, 7660

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9226, 1506, 7660

Auto

34.6 16%

Teleop

135.5 64%

Endgame

40.1 19%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5460, 4994, 2834

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5460, 4994, 2834

Auto

47.8 17%

Teleop

168.9 58%

Endgame

72.6 25%

Strengths

· 5460 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score212.9pts

Blue projected score290.5pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -77.6
Score range: 186–318
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 377 vs event baseline 147.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.7Season APEX572.2

34.6Auto47.8

135.5Teleop168.9

40.1Endgame72.6

17Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	60
teleop	62	121
endgame	39	36
foul	5	10
total	150	227

Result

Final score

150 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 63.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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