FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

200.4 – 88.08

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279 ±12.8

3322Eagle Evolution

Season APEX 134.9Event APEX 114.58Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8297WIHI Robo Wolves

Season APEX 92.5Event APEX 41.59Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

815Advanced Power

Season APEX 51.6Event APEX 44.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310 ±12.4

1076PiHi Samurai

Season APEX 201Event APEX 70.35Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10590Compass Team

Season APEX 42.8Event APEX 1.59Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

453Rockem Sockem Robotics

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 16.14Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3322, 8297, 815

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3322, 8297, 815

Auto

37.7 20%

Teleop

100.5 53%

Endgame

51.9 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1076, 10590, 453

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1076, 10590, 453

Auto

16.7 19%

Teleop

44.9 51%

Endgame

26.1 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score200.4pts

Blue projected score88.1pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 112.3
Score range: 61–227
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 199 vs event baseline 148.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279Season APEX310

37.7Auto16.7

100.5Teleop44.9

51.9Endgame26.1

9Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	15
teleop	84	8
endgame	45	3
foul	0	5
total	168	31

Result

Final score

168 – 31

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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