FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

246.84 – 262.9

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

259 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 547.1 ±9.9

5066Singularity

Season APEX 231.1Event APEX 109.64Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9242Hamady Hawks

Season APEX 76.4Event APEX 38.71Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

548Robostangs

Season APEX 239.6Event APEX 98.49Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 398.6 ±11.7

7692Beach Bums 7692

Season APEX 83.5Event APEX 64.09Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10656RataToaster

Season APEX 34.4Event APEX 18.2Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

67The HOT Team

Season APEX 280.7Event APEX 180.61Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5066, 9242, 548

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.8 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5066, 9242, 548

Auto

34.0 14%

Teleop

156.3 64%

Endgame

53.8 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7692, 10656, 67

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7692, 10656, 67

Auto

66.7 27%

Teleop

131.6 54%

Endgame

46.2 19%

Strengths

· 67 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.8pts

Blue projected score262.9pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.1
Score range: 221–289
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 146.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

547.1Season APEX398.6

34Auto66.7

156.3Teleop131.6

53.8Endgame46.2

82Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	76
teleop	123	152
endgame	83	75
foul	0	5
total	259	308

Result

Final score

259 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 28.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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