FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.22 – 57.28

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

61 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 142.3 ±13.9

6101Strange Quarks

Season APEX 54.8Event APEX 9.96Rank 38Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1The Juggernauts

Season APEX 28.8Event APEX 11.37Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8899CyberEagles

Season APEX 58.7Event APEX 14.89Rank 30Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 161.7 ±12.1

5090TorqueNados

Season APEX 50.7Event APEX 21.41Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7660The Byting Irish

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.41Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3773Arrowhead Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 12.46Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6101, 1, 8899

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.2 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6101, 1, 8899

Auto

17.6 50%

Teleop

2.5 7%

Endgame

14.8 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5090, 7660, 3773

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5090, 7660, 3773

Auto

17.8 34%

Teleop

13.7 27%

Endgame

20.1 39%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.66

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.2pts

Blue projected score57.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -21.1
Score range: 9–84
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 147.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

142.3Season APEX161.7

17.6Auto17.8

2.5Teleop13.7

14.8Endgame20.1

43Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	14
teleop	23	50
endgame	16	50
foul	0	5
total	61	119

Result

Final score

61 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 43.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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