FIM District Saline Event presented by Oracle

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

81.35 – 111.25

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

93 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.3 ±12.7

9148Atlas Robotics

Season APEX 51.7Event APEX 16.82Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9226GRemlins

Season APEX 84.1Event APEX 54.58Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3568Linden RoboEagles

Season APEX 74.5Event APEX 9.95Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 188.6 ±12.2

9727Warrior Robotics

Season APEX 64.6Event APEX 30.29Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3632D-Techs

Season APEX 57.8Event APEX 34Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7178Yeti

Season APEX 66.2Event APEX 46.96Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9148, 9226, 3568

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9148, 9226, 3568

Auto

18.7 22%

Teleop

38.2 45%

Endgame

28.0 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9727, 3632, 7178

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9727, 3632, 7178

Auto

17.4 16%

Teleop

61.2 57%

Endgame

29.5 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score81.4pts

Blue projected score111.3pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample186alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -29.9
Score range: 54–138
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 148.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.3Season APEX188.6

18.7Auto17.4

38.2Teleop61.2

28Endgame29.5

22Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	31
teleop	39	76
endgame	25	26
foul	0	5
total	93	138

Result

Final score

93 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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